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Barack Obama
"Lincoln Sells Out Slaves"
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Rob Kailey is a working schmuck with no ties or affiliations to any governmental or political organizations, save those of sympathy.

Montana to put Obama over the top?

by: JC

Wed May 21, 2008 at 22:51:19 PM MST


(It looks like our fun is just beginning. And think -- it could be Montana's young voters that decide who the next president will be. - promoted by Jay Stevens)

Fivethirtyeight.com had an interesting tidbit today. In its article, Can Obama Clinch on June 3rd?" they make the case that given a rules committee vote on how the FL and MI delegates get allocated, that the final pledged delegate victory could be right here, and making the case for him declaring victory in Montana:

"Obama might have another opportunity to declare victory on June 3rd, when South Dakota and Montana conclude the primary calendar. The conditions for doing so are otherwise pretty favorable. He is likely to achieve victory in one or both of these states (his worst case scenario is probably losing one of them -- more likely South Dakota -- by a small margin).

And while Obama could conceivably hold a victory rally anywhere, there is a sound argument for doing so in Montana, a potentially competitive state that symbolizes the Democrats' 50-state strategy (think Brian Schweitzer and John Tester) and their hopes to expand the electoral map in November. But will the math be there to make Montana the state that puts Obama over the top?"

Montana putting the final delegates into Obama's column and holding a victory speech here? Maybe in Missoula Montana?!!! Only in our wildest dreams. Denny Rehberg, get your coat, you're going home.

JC :: Montana to put Obama over the top?
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Well (0.00 / 0)
The political junkie and Democrat in me would consider that scenario pretty exciting.  The Hillary partisan in me would be heartbroken.  

And after talking to some of my friends/political contacts back home, I'm starting to think it's entirely possible that Hillary might be able to pull out a win in S. Dakota - which I hadn't though would be the case even before all the "why won't she quit?" craziness.


The why won't (0.00 / 0)
she quit craziness came about more than two months ago when it became apparent that she would need to take 70% of the remaining delegates, or have Obama get caught with his pants down,to win this nomination...there is absolutely NO REASON, other than Clinton's ego, for this contest to have continued pass April 15th...

[ Parent ]
Of course there is (0.00 / 0)
It let's us all have a say so. All 48 states get to have their say in this election.

[ Parent ]
Really? (0.00 / 0)
Since when has the nomination election been about "all states having a say"?  Actually, Clinton has come up with a new "reason" after every primary...it should be a Dave Letterman Top 10...

[ Parent ]
Why won't she quit (0.00 / 0)
started after IOWA.  

You act like you're talking about something that no one else here remembers.  


[ Parent ]
Actually.. (0.00 / 0)
I believe it was a certainty that she could not win enough delegates after she lost 12 straight contests....it's funny, but the other candidates figured this out and quit...

Oh well...it will all be over for good in a week or two....


[ Parent ]
Hmmm (0.00 / 0)
That's funny. I thought all but Gravel dropped out before Super Tuesday. Let's not rewrite history yet, bigsage.

[ Parent ]
I'd like....... (0.00 / 0)
to know when states 51-57 are going to get their votes counted?  Obama has already campaigned in each of those so how about some feedback on the crowds and the number of people who fainted.

Response to Mathellos comment (0.00 / 0)
48 states? You'd better check your facts with Barry. You're a few short.



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