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Rob Kailey is a working schmuck with no ties or affiliations to any governmental or political organizations, save those of sympathy.

Show me the 60 votes?

by: Barrett Kaiser

Fri Jan 19, 2007 at 15:34:38 PM MST


(Author's Disclaimer: Barrett is Max Baucus' communications director)

I've noticed the criticism Max is taking over his move to provide a boost to small businesses as part of the minimum wage discussion.

The question you must ask yourself is do you want to raise the minimum wage or just make a political statement?

We've been making political statements over raising the minimum wage for a decade. The Senate has rebuffed 11 attempts to boost the minimum wage since 1998. Max wants to actually get it done, right now. 

There's more....

Barrett Kaiser :: Show me the 60 votes?
The reality of the situation

The Democrats' majority in the House is wide enough that they can ram bills through without pulling Republicans over.  And not only is their majority bigger than in the Senate, but the House doesn't allow filibusters. Also, House Democrats wrote a rule that didn't allow any amendments.

The situation is starkly different in the closely divided Senate, where you need 60 votes to pass just about anything controversial. I'm not a mathlete, but that means we need to get nine Republicans to come with us on the wage increase.

Would Max prefer to pass the wage increase by itself? Yes, absolutely, but the votes just are not there. That's likely why every Democrat on the Finance Committee went for the small business tax package, including D Sens. Rockefeller, Conrad, John Kerry, Lincoln, Wyden, Schumer, Stabenow, Cantwell, and Salazar.

Max worked hard to craft this package with both Republicans and Democrats. And he worked hard to make sure the package won't drive the nation deeper into debt. (Nonpartisan Joint Committee on Taxation says it's paid for.)

Now, a story by Congress Daily (subscription) raises the question as to whether this small business package jeopardizes the wage increase procedurally. (It doesn't because we need to get to 60 either way.) But, notice what Sen. Kent Conrad, the chamber's budget-hawk-in-chief, said on the matter:

"Conrad, who voted for the small business tax bill in the Finance Committee, said the bill was consistent with the pay/go concept in that the Democrats' pledge to impose budget controls has erected hurdles to increasing the deficit.

"That's essentially what pay/go is supposed to do. You can still pass it if you get a super majority," he said, noting that the small business bill is still completely offset over the next decade. "Pay/go is only one part of restoring fiscal discipline. It doesn't solve the complete picture."

Budget points of order not withstanding, we need 60 votes regardless of whether or not the tax package is included.

You think the Republicans are going to let a "clean" minimum wage bill pass the Senate? It ain't gonna happen.

Aside from the politics and legislative procedures, why shouldn't we help small businesses in Montana and on Main Streets across the country when we get the chance?

Truth is Montana is a small business state. Our economy in large part is driven by small businesses such as restaurants, sporting goods stores, gift shops, small manufacturers, Java joints, et cetera. So much so, that 97 percent of all the jobs in Montana come from small businesses.

Consider the following:


-In 2003, 97.7% of all businesses in Montana were considered small businesses.
-In 2003, employer businesses numbered 33,991
-The number of self-employed in 2003 totaled 61,726
-Women-owned businesses represented 67% of the state's small businesses in 2002.
- In 2003, self-employed women totaled 38.2% of self-employed workers in the state.
-Minority-owned businesses represented 3.6% of the state's businesses and generated $400 million in revenues in 1997.

Sources: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of the Census; U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Department of Commerce, International Trade Administration; U.S. Small Business Administration Office of Government Contracting, Updated December 2003, U.S. Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy, 2004.

One of the provisions in Max's tax package extends WOTC, the Workforce Opportunity Tax Credit, which provides incentives for people to hire folks who have trouble finding jobs - people who've been on welfare, for example. Is that a bad thing?

The other point that chafes a little is the notion that Max somehow doesn't support the minimum wage increase, which is total bullshit. You'd have to be huffing Scotchguard off your sleeve to suggest such a thing, given Max's long history of supporting wage increases. Here's what he said yesterday:

"To call a minimum wage increase `overdue' is the understatement of the year. It's high time our workers get a raise. At the same time we are going to give a boost to small businesses."

So, again, the question is do you want to actually raise the minimum wage or simply make political statements?

We want to raise the minimum wage, at long last.

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false dichotomy (0.00 / 0)
This is why Max looks like such a dipshit, what you are saying makes no sense. When Democrats are united, it moves the goal posts. If Baucus weren't offering everything before the negotiations even begin then it is likely we could get enough momentum to overcome a filibuster (see GOP members up in '08 and the popularity of the issue), but we'll never know because Max is too fucking stupid to grasp the concept of momentum (except when he gives it to the other side, see every single Bush domestic victory for examples).

Your office's stupidity is hurting workers.


Have to agree there.. (0.00 / 0)
the vote went pretty darn well in the house, didn't it?  315 to 116 in favor?  82 of 196 republicans voting for it?

I don't get it - you don't think 9 Senators will come over?  Seriously?  Considering how many are up for election next year?  (21 republican senate seats)

Give me some better statistics there, Barrett - what percentage of that 97.7% of small businesses will be eligible for that tax break?  What is the average - or better yet, the median amount - of that tax break?

I guess what I'm driving at is this:  Are these tax credits going to be a boon to Montanans or are they going to be a boon to a bunch of other states?

Another point Barrett - In discussing I-151, which raised Montana's minimum wage, we used the argument that only a very small portion of Montanans actually worked for minimum wage - so 151 wasn't going to have the devastating impact on the economy that its opponents were hoping people would fall for.....so it seems to me that this break could be going to businesses that aren't even paying out minimum wage.


[ Parent ]
Democrats need to stick together on core working issues (0.00 / 0)
If it's a pure vote against the minimum wage, then the record will sink Republicans and especially will sink any Republican presidential contender.

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