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Barack Obama
"Lincoln Sells Out Slaves"
by: Rob Kailey - Sep 13
1 Comments
If You Haven't Seen This
by: Rob Kailey - Apr 28
5 Comments
Impeach the President?
by: Rob Kailey - Mar 16
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It's the system, stupid!
by: Jay Stevens - Oct 25
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Rob Kailey is a working schmuck with no ties or affiliations to any governmental or political organizations, save those of sympathy.

What does it all mean?

by: Jay Stevens

Fri Nov 07, 2008 at 10:35:38 AM MST


Looking over the results in Montana, I'm left scratching my head. I mean...for the statewide races and the PSC, progressive ideas and candidates clearly won.

So, on one hand, I'm tempted to day there's a clear mandate for a progressive agenda.

On the other hand, we suffered setbacks in the legislature. And not just minor setbacks, but some major ones, because, if anything, the Republican legislators should be even more radical and weird this legislative session. I mean, we're talking about a world in which Dan McGee is probably Senate president or Senate majority leader.

I don't get it. I know Montanans are notorious ticket splitters, but generally speaking the state's voters are issue driven. So...they flock to Brian Schweitzer in droves, who touts alternative energy and progressive tax policy...then proceed to vote in a legislature that's anti-alternative energy, dominated by global warming deniers, and overwhelmingly in favor of deregulation and trickle-down economics.

And this year, especially, Democrats up and down the ticket were saying the same things. It wasn't as if Schweitzer, Gutsche, and Brittany MacLean weren't talking about the same things...health care...clean and green energy...smart taxation...etc & co.

So what gives?

Jay Stevens :: What does it all mean?
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Schweitzer is a cheerleader (0.00 / 0)
It's easy to vote for the cheerleader, but neglect the flag team.

Obama's campaign did awesome GOTV in Missoula (4.00 / 1)
but maybe not so much in other parts of the state?  On Election Eve Matt prognosticated that Obama needed a margin of at least 15,000 to win, i.e. a bigger margin than Schweitzer or Tester got in '04 and '06.  Well, Obama volunteers helped make that margin happen, and I think partly on the strength of that extra Democratic turnout we also got winners like Gutsche and Landquist.

Elsewhere in the state we wound up 12,000 votes short for Obama.  Mainly that's because Ron Paul didn't come through for us :-).  But in terms of Democratic votes, if the Obama GOTV effort had been more widespread maybe we could have picked up those 12,000 in a variety of legislative districts, and Obama would've had bigger coattails.

I know that would have taken a lot of extra effort, money, etc.  I honestly don't know what the Obama effort was like elsewhere in the state.  Here in Missoula I was very impressed with their organization.  The volunteer effort was very highly-targeted compared to what I've seen as a campaign volunteer in the past.

Somehow MT Democrats have to apply that kind of targeted campaigning to more key districts around the state in 2010.  It would be great for Schweitzer to have a cooperative legislature and get some solid accomplishments through here before he takes over from Biden as Obama's VP in 2012....


It Is Possible (0.00 / 0)
It is possible that the GOTV efforts for Obama didn't carry coattails with it.  I think Montana is still too entrenched in the stereotype of Democrats as 'tax and spend' for the message to take hold on the local level.  We are, fashionably, a couple of years behind the rest of the nation after all.

Another thought (0.00 / 0)
Looking at things casually (as Mark suggests) it appears that incumbents did more poorly across the board in Montana.  Maybe it wasn't an R-D thing, but a general distaste with the Montana legislature from last session ...  

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