Event Calendar
July 2014
(view month)
S M T W R F S
* * 01 02 03 04 05
06 07 08 09 10 11 12
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
20 21 22 23 24 25 26
27 28 29 30 31 * *
<< (add event) >>


User Blox 4
- Put stuff here

Barack Obama
"Lincoln Sells Out Slaves"
by: Rob Kailey - Sep 13
1 Comments
If You Haven't Seen This
by: Rob Kailey - Apr 28
5 Comments
Impeach the President?
by: Rob Kailey - Mar 16
15 Comments
It's the system, stupid!
by: Jay Stevens - Oct 24
7 Comments

Search




Advanced Search


Rob Kailey is a working schmuck with no ties or affiliations to any governmental or political organizations, save those of sympathy.

Closer Than We've Ever Been; So Far Left to Go

by: Matt Singer

Wed Oct 28, 2009 at 12:04:26 PM MST


The good news remains that health care reform is largely on track. We've passed the low point that any bill is likely to hit in terms of the public option and some other key progressive priorities and we're in the process of improving the bill.

But people have no doubt seen the commentary in the last 48 hours regarding the fact that we don't have 60 votes for cloture in the Senate yet. As I have been before, I'm fundamentally optimistic about this. I think the CBO scoring of the merged bill will come back favorable. I think scores on amendments to remove the public option will put the deficit burden on opponents of the public option. I think choice is fundamentally popular and that Republicans and the sell-out Democrats are facing an uphill battle against polling.

All that being said, the fact that we can't move to a consensus point yet on the public option means that progressives have less leverage on three other important points: financing mechanisms, subsidies for affordability, and the strength of the employer mandate. That may be the reason for the foot dragging. Who knows?

But a few other thoughts:

  1. I don't know if Max Baucus has been trying to gut this bill like a fish or busting ass to strengthen it back to his white paper while making sure he has the votes to move forward. I do know that the general momentum in this fight right now is with reformers and specifically with public option advocates and that is both a result of progressive pressure, progressive insiders, and the slow and steady work of Max and his staff and others like him in Congress.
  2. The last 48 hours should have proven that while the problem in DC is with 40 given bad votes that require a bill that "runs the table" with Dems and the two Independents, that still means that putting together a bill that can pass is a damn tough thing to do. Both the Senate and the House will be moving toward floor consideration of their respective bills soon. That is historic. It is amazing. But we don't have the votes for cloture yet.
  3. The Senate is a uniquely messed up institution. If you've been in the weeds, you've read that Joe Lieberman has agreed to let the health care bill be considered...because the world's greatest deliberative body requires sixty votes for debatee to even begin if a single Senator objects. This same body requires 60 votes to end debate in such a manner that the most unpopular political party in the history of the country or something can literally find one grandstanding member of the majority and lock down the chamber. Why no one has launched a full-frontal assault on the chamber's structure and existence in American political life is, frankly, beyond me.
Anyways, I know I keep getting described as a fool in comments. Maybe I am for having the policy stances that I do. But so far this game is playing out close to how I imagined it...and I think we're on the path for an OK bill.
Matt Singer :: Closer Than We've Ever Been; So Far Left to Go
Tags: , , , , , (All Tags)
Bookmark and Share
Print Friendly View Send As Email

True Health Care Reform is but an Imaginary Dream (0.00 / 0)
I am much more cynical than the ever optimistic Matt Singer.  There is too much money from the lobbyists betting against reform.

Health care reform--in any shape or form--is ultimately going to go down in flames.  There are far too many senators and representatives who view their own political hides as more important than the mere health and welfare of this country's citizens.

If anything even remotely resembling health care reform gets passed, it will only be a fluke.  Big money and far to many Congressmen are against real reform.


Personally I hope (0.00 / 0)
there's a 3 or 4 week filibuster!  I'd love to hear Lieberman and his fellow republicans and those moron blue dogs like Blanche Lincoln argue on behalf of the insurance industry...

The insurance industry can't lose, and they know it. They were taken care of long ago. (0.00 / 0)
The bill is an insurance company bailout no matter how this last bit goes down.

The insurance companies already know they  will either get:

1. A teeny tiny public option. Worst case scenario for the insurance companies. They get 30 million new captive clients and another 25 million who have to upgrade. They keep all their other clients, and they raise their prices as far and fast as they can. 10 million Americans, the sickest and least profitable go on to the public option which reimburses at Medicare rates  plus 5%. All other Americans who are forced by law to get their private insurance bitch and moan about how unfair it is that those 10 million pay less than they do.

2. A teensy weensy public option. Middle case scenario for the insurance companies. They get 40 million new captive clients and another 25 million who have to upgrade. They keep all their other clients, and they raise their prices as far and fast as they can. A few million who are uninsurable get dumped into a public option that is for those few million. It is tax payer supported and cost more than private insurance because it's not just a joke, it's a bad joke.

3. No public option. Best Case scenario for the insurance companies. They get 40 million new captive clients and another 25 million who have to upgrade. They keep all their other clients, and they raise their prices as far and fast as they can. A few million who are uninsurable get covered by Medicade.

Any way you slice it, we lose, the insurance companies win, and the Dems get big contributions for their campaigns.



[ Parent ]
Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


Bookmark and Share

Poll
Purely Hypothetical, of course, but - The best candidate for the Republicans for US Senate is:
Corey Stapleton
Dennis Rehberg
Marc Racicot
Champ Edmunds
Steve Daines
Harris Himes
Kreyton Kerns

Results

Blog Roll
  • A Secular Franciscan Life
  • Big Sky Blog
  • David Crisp's Billings Blog
  • Discovering Urbanism
  • Ecorover
  • Great Falls Firefly
  • Intelligent Discontent
  • Intermountain Energy
  • Lesley's Podcast
  • Livingston, I Presume
  • Great Falls Firefly
  • Montana Cowgirl
  • Montana Main St.
  • Montana Maven
  • Montana With kids
  • Patia Stephens
  • Prairie Mary
  • Speedkill
  • Sporky
  • The Alberton Papers
  • The Fighting Liberal
  • The Montana Capitol Blog
  • The Montana Misanthrope
  • Thoughts From the Middle of Nowhere
  • Treasure State Judaism
  • Writing and the West
  • Wrong Dog's Life Chest
  • Wulfgar!

  • Powered by: SoapBlox